EUR/USD
Near-term price action sees the pair attempting to base after posting marginally fresh low at 1.3421 overnight, versus the yesterday’s one at 1.3428. Upside remains for now capped at 1.3550, yesterday’s highs / 20 day SMA, with wider picture’s outlook firmly holding bearish tone, as shown on 4-hour chart, with further consolidation seen preceding fresh weakness. Break below 1.3428 to expose 1.3400, then 1.3360, below which opens way towards key support at 1.3145. On the upside, lift above initial barrier at 1.3550, may delay immediate bears in favor of stronger correction into strong resistance zone at 1.3600/60, previous lows, Fib 50%; 61.8%.
Res: 1.3500, 1.3550, 1.3570, 1.3600
Sup: 1.3454, 1.3421, 1.3400, 1.3360
GBP/USD
Extended losses to the levels under 1.5700 handle, after yesterday’s brief consolidation above 1.5750. Near-term studies show the pair under increased pressure after breaking below 3-weeks range. Corrective bounce on oversold conditions faces initial barrier at 1.5800 zone, yesterday’s consolidation ceiling / daily 55 day SMA, ahead of strong resistances at 1.5850/75, previous range floor that is expected to cap the upside. Daily MACD is attempting through the midline and this would confirm short-term bearish stance for fresh extension lower to test 1.5630/10, 18 Oct low / Fib 61.8% of 1.5271/1.6164 ascend.
Res: 1.5764, 1.5792, 1.5800, 1.5814
Sup: 1.5735, 1.5700, 1.5690, 1.5680
USD/JPY
Remains in short-term range trade, limited within narrow daily 55 and 90 day SMA’s at 76.80 and 77.15. Hourly studies are flat, suggesting further sideways movements, while daily indicators are breaking below midlines and maintaining broader negative tone. Break below near-term extreme point at 76.80 is required to trigger fresh decline at expose 76.50/30 next, while upside remains capped at 77.15 and only break here to signal stronger recovery and expose 77.50, 15 Nov spike high.
Res: 77.00, 77.15, 77.50, 77.72
Sup: 76.90, 76.80, 76.50, 76.30
USD/CHF
Continues to trend higher after yesterday’s corrective pullback off 0.9221 high found good support at 0.9140 zone, 10 Nov previous high, where fresh rally emerged. Overnight brief break through 0.9221 high, posted fresh one at 0.9228, keeping the wider picture’s bullish structure in play for final push towards key resistance zone at 0.9313/38, 06 Oct /27 Mar highs. Key near-term support remains at 0.9140, with 20 day SMA at the same level, underpinning the latest advance.
Res: 0.9200, 0.9228, 0.9250, 0.9278
Sup: 0.9180, 0.9140, 0.9124, 0.9100
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17-11-2011, 09:16 AM #1
Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:45 GMT)
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