EUR/USD
Extends reversal from 1.4035 after recovery attempt from 1.3860 failed at 1.3940. Fresh weakness broke below 1.3860 support to hit 1.3800, 38.2% retracement of 1.3427/1.4035 ascend so far. Negative near-term outlook sees scope for further downside, with 1.3744, 02 Mar low, 1.3731, 50% and 1.3710, 28 Feb low now in focus. Oversold hourly and 4-hour conditions, however, suggest correction higher before fresh attempt lower, while 1.3940 expected to cap.
Res: 1.3854, 1.3880, 1.3923, 1.3940
Sup: 1.3800, 1.3744, 1.3731, 1.3710
GBP/USD
Remains on the back foot after yesterday’s recovery attempt from 1.6124 stalled at 1.6240. Fresh weakness is under way, approaching first support at 1.6134, trendline drawn off 1.5750, ahead of 1.6124. Break here will signal an end of recovery phase and expose 1.6030/1.5957, key near-term supports. Only break above 1.6240 will turn near-term focus higher.
Res: 1.6175, 1.6189, 1.6212, 1.6222
Sup: 1.6134, 1.6124, 1.6089, 1.6030
USD/JPY
Maintains near-term positive tone after sharp reversal from 83.05 spike high found support at 81.94. Market has so far reached 82.95, just ahead of key 83.05 barrier, also 61.8% retracement of 83.96/81.57 decline, break of which is needed to resume recovery and expose 83.52/96, with possible attempt at 84.49, key short-term resistance. Failure under 83.05, however, would risk lower top.
Res: 82.95, 83.05, 83.23, 83.52
Sup: 82.71, 82.59, 82.45, 82.20
USD/CHF
Fresh strength from 0.9234 higher low broke above 0.9327 resistance, extending recovery to 0.9367, ahead of reversal. Fresh losses through 0.9327/00 support zone weaken the near-term tone, for possible return to 0.9221/00 area. Current attempt to leave a higher low above 0.9221 cleared first barrier at 0.9335, en-route to 0.9367, break of which is needed to signal fresh recovery phase and open 0.9390/0.9417.
Res: 0.9345, 0.9367, 0.9390, 0.9417
Sup: 0.9309, 0.9279, 0.9267, 0.9234
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10-03-2011, 09:57 AM #1
Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (08:00 GMT)
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