EUR/USD
Maintains negative tone that was confirmed on break below significant 1.3000 handle. Losses have so far tested 1.2945, med-term bear-channel support, with break lower to look for test of 1.2900, ahead of critical point at 1.2872, 09 Jan yearly low. Corrective bounces on oversold conditions, face initial resistance at 1.3063, while further rallies should not exceed the next array of barriers at 1.3100/60. Only sustained break above 1.3200 would delay immediate bears.
Res: 1.3000, 1.3063, 1.3100, 1.3160
Sup: 1.2977, 1.2945, 1.2900, 1.2872
GBP/USD
Has fully retraced the recent 1.5422/1.5777 corrective phase, as break below critical support at 1.5422, extended losses close to 1.5400 mark, where temporary support was found. Negative near-term studies keep the downside favored, with break below 1.5400 to expose next support at 1.5328, 22/23 Sep lows, ahead of test of key support and longer-term range floor at 1.5271, 02 Oct yearly low. Strong resistance at 1.5530, also 4h 20 day SMA, is expected to cap corrective bounce, while only regain of 1.5600 would signal stronger correction.
Res: 1.5500, 1.5535, 1.5550, 1.5560
Sup: 1.5432, 1.5422, 1.5407, 1.5400
USD/JPY
Holds steady just above 78.00, moving in a narrow range, as price action above 78.00 barrier remains capped at 78.15 for now. Initial support zone at 78.00/77.90, also 20 day SMA and main bull trendline, comes under pressure, as hourly studies are losing momentum, risking deeper reversal. However, wider picture’s bulls remain in play while 77.60/50, key near-term support zone contains dips, with focus at 78.27, 29 Nov previous high.
Res: 78.15, 78.27, 78.44, 79.00
Sup: 78.00, 77.90, 77.63, 77.48
USD/CHF
Corrects the recent strong rally that cleared 0.9500, psychological barrier and extended gains to 0.9545 so far. Upside remain in focus, as overall bullish structure stays intact, with today’s SNB decision expected to further support the pair. Next target lies at 0.9600, while corrective dips should find good support above 0.9400 handle.
Res: 0.9545, 0.9600, 0.9650, 0.9700
Sup: 0.9476, 0.9430, 0.9400, 0.9385
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15-12-2011, 09:01 AM #1
Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:45 GMT)
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