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USD/JPY: meeting of Bank of Japan is in the focus
Review of the past week

The last week on the currency market showed consolidation of the US currency against its major competitors. As German GDP data for 2013 was weak and the US inflation report was moderately positive, united European currency got under pressure. Economic growth in one of the leading European economy – Germany – demonstrates decline 3 years in succession, which one more time confirms accuracy of Mario Drahgi's expectations about a weak growth of European economy within nearest few years. A moderate growth of the US CPI and PPI increased the number of supporters of tapering of stimulative measures which will be demonstrated at the FOMC meeting on January 29. All these facts worked in favor of bears and having lost 139 points for the week Eur/Usd pair finished week's trades at the point of 1.3539.

GBP/USD quotations had been declining from Monday to Thursday on the background of week inflation data in Great Britain. But strong Friday's report on retails allowed “cable” to cut the distance between this currency and USD. Growth of retails in 2013 was the most significant over the last 9 years. Positive news background on the last trading day allowed British currency to close the week with minor damages on the level of 1.6423.

For the last week, USD/JPY currency pair added 0.3%. Japan did not publish any important macroeconomic stats. Negative background for the Japanese currency is formed by investors' s expectations regarding further tapering of stimulative measures in the USA and enhancement of quantitative softening in Japan. Any strong correction of USD/JPY pair is followed by growth of quotations which speaks for a strength of ascending trend.

Forecast for the week January 20 – 24

Winners of the "New Year Money Bag" drawing shared the secret of success!

Dear traders!
At New Year's eve, "FreshForex" company held a great holiday drawing of money prizes - "New Year Money Bag ". We remind that winners were chosen among all «FreshForex» clients online on the company’s website. By the results of drawing, 31 lucky traders were awarded with prizes in the range of 300 - 30 000$.
Winners kindly agreed to answer a few questions of us, and now we have a unique opportunity to read the most interesting moments of the interview, learn their experience, and, perhaps, even the secret of victory on the Forex!
Alex, winner of 30 000$:
"I did not believe that my account will win, though I hoped. To tell the truth, I am not very lucky in my life. I've been working not for long on the forex market, but have still been in plus. And the biggest success is my prize. I wish everybody to try and not be afraid to take risk. "
Alexey, winner of 1500$:
"Thank you for the promotion! I learned from "Vkontakte" social network about my victory, as I had been always monitoring it, but not often commenting on it. I recommend to participate in promotions to everyone working on the Forex market. It is a great chance to begin trading, almost without having to invest . I’m interested in new promo with Kaspersky too - my antivirus just got expired, so I plan to join it. "
Azat, winner of 300$:
"I want to share the joy of my winning in the "New Year Money Bag " drawing! I have been trading in the Forex not for the first year and set to trade with your company from June 2013. I would like to note about friendliness and professionalism of Customer support service. I like promotions held by the company as well as response speed of orders and quickness of withdrawal."
Juris, winner of 300$:
"I have very positive feelings of participation in this promotion! It is very nice to work with the company that cares about its clients. I began to trade a few years ago, but I have been cooperating with "FreshForex" recently for just over a month. I can give a good recommendation to beginners: never risk more than with 3% of capital per day. "
Nadezhda, winner of 300$:
"To tell the truth, I did not believe I could win a prize! I had learned good news even before announcement of results, when I saw the winning amount in the "credit" column of the account. I became a trader 1,5 years ago, and I've been with your company since November of last year. I like your promotions very much, especially “33x3” and “Spreads in half””
Michail, winner of 300$:
"I want to thank you for the opportunity to work in the Forex market. Of course, I have joyful and pleasant feelings, and not only because of the victory, but because company's work with clients is impeccable. I consider that «FreshForex» created all conditions for effective work. "
Virgilijus, winner of 300$:
"Honestly, I did not even know that I participated in this promotion, so the prize was unexpected. It was a real Christmas gift, and "FreshForex" played a Santa Claus role. I began working with Freshforex about 6 months ago. I like rapid withdrawal as well as "Spreads in half" promo. Since I'm a beginner, I can say only one thing to other beginners - to succeed, you need to trade and gain experience."
We thank all who took part in the drawing or who was just an observer. We wish you a good luck. Believe in yourself and don't forget to participate in our promotions. Maybe next time will be lucky for you!

Weekly review of three pairs
EUR/USD


Monthly chart: the pair had pushed off upper Bollinger band (1.3914) and is apparently moving in the area of medium (1.3105). Nevertheless, we will make a note of an ascending configuration of an upper band, therefore, there is a probability of buyers' attack by breaking of resistance 1.3914 and of a further growth above 41.


Weekly chart: growth had slowed down within the the frames of upper envelope, ADX had turned, so, possible reconfiguration within the range 1.3576-1.3907 is possible.


Day chart: horizontal corridor described by Bollinger bands as ADX is inactive is also an argument for a flat game inside envelopes (blue arrow is the support 1.35, 1.3824 is the resistance).


Conclusion: main scenario is a flat movement 1.35-1.3824. Alternatively, there can be a well-formed bullish flat corridor with support at 1.3576 and resistance at 1.3907.

A new payment method - Skrill – is now available!

Dear traders!


We are glad to inform you that deposit and withdrawal through “Skrill” payment system is now available to all “FreshForex” traders.


“Skrill” allows to conduct finance operations via the web without revealing card and bank details. That is precisely why using “Skrill” is not only comfortable, but is also safe. The account in “Skrill” can be easily replenished with bank card.
To be able to add and withdraw your funds with the help of “Skrill” system in “FreshForex” company, it is enough to verify your personal data in the Personal area.


Replenishment through “Skrill” system is free of charge. When you withdraw funds from your trading account, "Skrill" commission is charged in the rate of 1% from withdrawal amount but not more than 10 EUR. The system works in US dollars. Conversion into currency of deposit is made under the company's internal rate by the moment of transfer. If your Skrill account is opened in the currency different from USD, conversion of Skrill account currency into USD is conducted under the rate of Skrill system.


Check company's web-site to find details about other methods of deposit and withdrawal.

How exactly is ECB going to tackle inflation?
Review of the past week



The last trading week of January was marked by consolidation of US dollar against the most part of its competitors. Core event of the week was Fed's meeting where FOMC members unanimously voted for continuation of QE-3 tapering. Besides, Ben Bernanke for whom it was the last chaired meeting stated that the economy will moderately grow and the recovery of labor market is expected to continue as well. Tapering of stimulative measures is negative for all risk assets.



On Friday 31, European preliminary inflation data was released. CPI was below expectations and is based on the level of 0.7% signifying that threat of deflation for the European economy is still vital. EUR/USD has been under pressure over the entire week and closed trades at the point of 1.3486.



Great Britain published GDP for the 4rd quarter of the previous year. The index is 0.7% and such value met expectations of market players. While speaking on Jan 29, BoE governor Mark Carney confirmed the regulator's unwillingness to raise interest rate within the nearest time, even if unemployment reaches target level. FOMC's decision to cut stimulative measures for 10 bln USD from Feb 1 was negative for British currency. Following to Fed's meeting, pressure on GBP/USD grew and trading week was closed on the level of 1.6438.



According to the last week's results, Japanese yen showed a symbolic growth in 0.2%. Positive stats on retails and inflation in Japan supported yen's quotations. Decline of Nikkei 225 stock index futures also played in bulls' hand. Nevertheless, we did not witness a significant consolidation of Japanese currency. A long-term ascending trend for USD/JPY is still in effect and one can see investors opening long positions after each strong decline. Trading week finished just above 102, on the point of102.02.



Forecast for the week February 3 – 7

How clients of “FreshForex” company traded in January

Dear traders!


The first month of 2014 year had come to the end, so it's time to summarize trading results and underline the most important events of January.
The U.S. Fed continued to taper stimulatibg program QE-3 and this fact had a negative influence on EUR/USD pair. CPI report for Europe published at the end of the month showed a decrease down to 0.7%, this way indicating the threat of deflation. Because of these negative factors, EUR/USD pair remained under pressure and finished the month at the point of 1.3486.


Over January British currency moderately had been decreasing against its US rival. The unemployment rate declined down to 7.1%, which encouarged "bulls" to open long positions. The situation changed after the announcement of the British regulator that there is no need to raise interest rates since unemployment rate had reached target level of 7%. Investors took this information negatively, and during remaining time of the month price had been going down. Having lost 0.85%, month's trading finished at the point of 1.6438.


In the first month of the year it was a decrease in quotations of USD/JPY. There was a meeting of the Bank of Japan on January 22. No change in monetary policy was declared and it disappointed "bulls" trading with this pair. Investors' leave from risky assets led to a decline on leading global stock exchanges, which was also a negative factor for growth of the pair USD/JPY. At the end of a month Japanese yen added 3.2% and finished trading at 102.02.


Below we offer you to have a look at the results of “FreshForex” clients trading in January:
• 596% of the deposit for the month. That's how much was earned by one of our clients using aggressive trading methods, accompanied by an enormous risk;
• 25,034 trades per month. More than 1000 trades per day was made by a trader with the help of high frequency EA.
• 63% of traders ended January with profit. This is the share of customers with deposits of $ 10,000 and above. The large deposit allows you to have a good "safety bag" and reduce your risks;
• $122,260 is the best result of January and a record amount for the company. In January especially during the Christmas holidays most traders trade reluctantly, as there is a lack of liquidity on market and the time when Central Banks only approve plans for the year. But there are those who can avail from market's uncertainty and demonstrate such results.


We remind that you can find the most important figures regarding company's operation in “Facts and figures” section of our web-site.

Time is ripe to sell EUR/USD
Review of the past week



Since the last week was the first week of the month, it was traditionally eventful. According to its results, EUR/USD pair consolidated for 1.1% as ECB governor was positive in his comments and labor market report in the USA was weak. Mario Drahgi continues to surprise market with his optimism. On Thursday 6, while speaking in the ECB meeting, he stated that deflation does not threat Europe now and there is no sense to apply measures to cope with it now. Investors were encouraged by this statement and EUR/USD went above 36.



On the last trading day of the week, release on the US labor market was published. January growth of Non-Farm payrolls was 113 000, which is rather below the figure of consensus-forecast. For the second month in a row, US employers are at an easy pace when it comes to hiring. This is an alarm bell for the US economy and served a background for growth of the European currency. Week's trades were closed at the point of 1.3634. In the fight of bulls and bears on GBP/USD pair there is no winner. Over the past week, Markit Economics research center had been releasing PMI for manufacture and construction as well as for the service sector. Amongst all, only construction report was a good surprise for investors wherease two other were below expectations. This negative background encouraged bears who forced quotations down to 1.6251.



Bulls also paid back in their own coin and got out the most of the weak US Non-Farm payrolls report by raising quotations above 64. Nevertheless, in the end of the week GBP/USD lost its symbolical 0.1% and finished at 1.6407.



Japanese Yen followed its upsurge in January and early February by retreat. Only the first trading day of the week was marked by its consolidation against its US rival as sales on leading global stock exchanges was going on. On Wednesday 5, the report on change in salary for December was published. The figure was above consensus-forecast which supported demand in Japanese currency in the first half of a day. Salary growth will provoke increase of expenses in the future and thus enhancement of inflation. On this background, USD/JPY dropped down to 100.77, but bears were not strong enough to get more. Then bulls joined the game who were not discouraged by weak report on the US Non-Farm payrolls in January. Having added 0.3% for the weak, trades were closed at the point of 102.35.



Forecast for the week February 10 – 14

Weekly review of three major pairs
EUR/USD



Monthly chart: the pair is on the way to Bollinger's upper band (1.3931) and bulls do not have any potential for a further break, because ADX did not exceed "30".

Thus, a main strategic scenario is a bounce down from 1.3931 and movement to the area of Bollinger's medium band (1.3139).
Weekly chart: a long consolidation inside of the ascending triangle is coming to an end. In all likelihood, this accumulation will be continued this week as well, because ADX did not turn its full potential on. Support is on the middle (1.3605), resistance is on the upper band (1.38).
Conclusion: a main scenario is the flat within 1.36-1.38. Another option is the break above 1.38, movement to 1.3931 and a bounce down in the direction of 1.36.
[img]http://freshforex.ru/netcat_files/Image/eurusd,%20m(6).png[/img]
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Upgrade of MetaTrader 4 Client Terminal

Dear traders!


Today we held a scheduled upgrade of the real trading server. The goal of innovations is to extend functionality, enhance sustainability and operation speed of the MetaTrader 4 platform.
The most part of changes touched MQL4 programming language. It allowed to increase execution speed and enhance safety of programs by several times. Upon that, you can still use old EX4 files: they continue to work correctly, so you may not be concerned about performance of EA created earlier. Software designers can evaluate plenty of additions to MetaEditor and recompile source codes with new opportunities for the new trading terminal.


One more innovation is the Market for MetaTrader 4 trading platform applications which was earlier available only with MetaTrader 5.


Please pay attention that storage structure of the data was changed. EA, libraries, logs and other useful data is now stored in a special catalog. You can find it in the “File” - “Open Data Folder” menu.
You can read about this and other innovations on the official forum of MQL4.
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FreshForex is the media partner of ShowFxWorld conference

Dear traders!


“FreshForex” company became the media partner of one of the brightest events on the Forex market - “ShowFxWorld” conference.
“ShowFxWorld” is a notable event dedicated to the most vital issues of financial markets.
This time, the conference is being held in Riga – the city which has been taking an active part in global financial relationship for long years. Thanks to its modern infrastructure, the capital of Riga is an ideal place for the events of the highest level.


Events under the auspices of “ShowFxWorld” brand has always fascinating and interesting to any trader. Participants of the conference include representatives of all spheres related to financial markets including leading brokers and dealing centers.
The conference will take place on February, 22, at 10.00 am of local time.


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