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US stock market closed mixed, Dow Jones down 0.34%



On Thursday this week, investors will be waiting for the publication of data on consumer prices in the US. Analysts believe that annual inflation in the country slowed down to 6.5% in December from 7.1% per annum recorded in November.

The statistics may give traders a hint as to what to do next with the US Federal Reserve, whose next two-day meeting will take place on January 31 and February 1. About 77% of analysts expect the regulator's discount rate to increase by 25 basis points to 4.5-4.75%.

In addition, as early as this Friday, the largest US banks will report on their financial results for the previous year.

At the close on the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones fell 0.34%, the S&P 500 index fell 0.08%, the NASDAQ Composite index rose 0.63%.

The leading performer among the Dow Jones index components today was Salesforce Inc, which gained 6.59 points or 4.69% to close at 147.10. Quotes of Intel Corporation rose by 0.58 points (2.02%), closing trading at 29.31. Goldman Sachs Group Inc rose 4.92 points or 1.41% to close at 353.00.

The least gainers were Merck & Company Inc, which shed 4.46 points or 3.88% to end the session at 110.38. Johnson & Johnson rose 2.59% or 4.67 points to close at 175.58 while The Travelers Companies Inc shed 2.45% or 4.75 points to close at 189.12.

Leading gainers among the components of the S&P 500 in today's trading were Tesla Inc, which rose 5.93% to 119.77, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd, which gained 5.90% to close at 13.81. as well as shares of NVIDIA Corporation, which rose 5.18% to close the session at 156.28.

The least gainers were Baxter International Inc, which shed 7.74% to close at 44.70. Shares of Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc shed 7.69% to end the session at 680.49. Quotes of Northrop Grumman Corporation decreased in price by 4.99% to 495.41.

The leading gainers among the components of the NASDAQ Composite in today's trading were CinCor Pharma Inc, which rose 143.97% to 28.74, Amryt Pharma Holdings Ltd, which gained 107.29% to close at 14.51. as well as Albireo Pharma Inc, which rose 92.16% to end the session at 43.85.

The least gainers were shares of Calithera Biosciences Inc, which shed 81.77% to close at 0.66. Shares of Peak Bio Inc shed 27.27% to end the session at 2.56. Quotes of Cerus Corporation decreased in price by 28.04% to 2.72.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the number of securities that rose in price (1868) exceeded the number of those that closed in the red (1202), while quotes of 102 shares remained practically unchanged. On the NASDAQ stock exchange, 2192 companies rose in price, 1561 fell, and 172 remained at the level of the previous close.

The CBOE Volatility Index, which is based on S&P 500 options trading, rose 3.98% to 21.97.

Gold futures for February delivery added 0.33%, or 6.10, to hit $1.00 a troy ounce. In other commodities, WTI crude futures for February delivery rose 1.42%, or 1.05, to $74.82 a barrel. Futures for Brent crude for March delivery rose 1.46%, or 1.15, to $79.72 a barrel.

Meanwhile, in the Forex market, EUR/USD rose 0.82% to 1.07, while USD/JPY shed 0.19% to hit 131.82.

Futures on the USD index fell 0.68% to 102.94.

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JAPAN LEADING INDEX AT 23-MONTH LOW



Japan's leading index decreased in November to the lowest level in nearly two years, preliminary figures of a survey by the Cabinet Office showed on Wednesday.

The leading index, which measures future economic activity, dropped to 97.6 in November from 98.6 in the previous month.

Further, this was the lowest score since December 2020, when it was 96.5.

The coincident index, which measures the current economic situation, also weakened to a 6-month low of 99.1 in November from 99.6 in the previous month.

At the same time, the lagging index improved to 100.9 in November from 99.2 in the preceding month.

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CHINA CONSUMER PRICES UNCHANGED IN DECEMBER



Consumer prices in China were flat on month in December, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Thursday.

That beat expectations for a decline of 0.1 percent following the 0.2 percent drop in November.

On a yearly basis, inflation rose 1.8 percent - in line with expectations and up from 1.6 percent in the previous month.

The bureau also said that producer prices sank 0.7 percent on year versus expectations for a fall 0.1 percent after slipping 1.3 percent a month earlier.

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US stocks closed higher, Dow Jones up 0.64%



At the close on the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones rose 0.64% to hit a monthly high, the S&P 500 index rose 0.34%, the NASDAQ Composite index rose 0.64%.

The leading performer among the components of the Dow Jones index today was Walt Disney Company, which gained 3.48 points or 3.61% to close at 99.81. Salesforce Inc rose 4.70 points or 3.24% to close at 149.60. Boeing Co rose 6.29 points or 3.02% to close at 214.32.

Shares of Coca-Cola Co were the leaders of the fall, the price of which fell by 0.80 points (1.29%), ending the session at 61.21. Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc was up 1.24% or 0.46 points to close at 36.66, while Walmart Inc was down 0.90% or 1.32 points to close at 144. .81.

The top gainers among the S&P 500 index components in today's trading were American Airlines Group, which gained 9.71% to 16.83, United Airlines Holdings Inc, which gained 7.52% to close at 51.30, and Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Class A shares, which gained 5.85% to close the session at 65.10.

The least gainers were Charles River Laboratories, which shed 5.95% to close at 232.25. Bio-Techne Corp lost 5.14% to end the session at 82.17. Quotes of Illumina Inc decreased in price by 5.05% to 193.75.

Leading gainers among the components of the NASDAQ Composite in today's trading were Arrival Vault USA Inc, which rose 100.00% to hit 0.54, Akerna Corp, which gained 66.67% to close at 1.65, and also shares of Moxian Inc, which rose by 73.32%, ending the session at around 1.04.

The leading gainers were Oramed Pharmaceuticals Inc, which shed 76.46% to close at 2.54. Atlis Motor Vehicles Inc lost 35.32% to end the session at 6.52. Quotes of Universe Pharmaceuticals Inc decreased in price by 25.30% to 0.90.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the number of securities that rose in price (2353) exceeded the number of those that closed in the red (733), while quotes of 91 shares remained virtually unchanged. On the NASDAQ stock exchange, 2633 companies rose in price, 1063 fell, and 181 remained at the level of the previous close.

The CBOE Volatility Index, which is based on S&P 500 options trading, fell 10.72% to 18.83, hitting a new 6-month low.

Gold futures for February delivery added 1.17%, or 22.05, to $1.00 a troy ounce. In other commodities, WTI crude for February delivery rose 1.20%, or 0.93, to $78.34 a barrel. Futures for Brent crude for March delivery rose 1.50%, or 1.24, to $83.91 a barrel.

Meanwhile, in the Forex market, EUR/USD rose 0.91% to 1.09, while USD/JPY shed 2.43% to hit 129.24.

Futures on the USD index fell 0.94% to 101.96.

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US stocks closed higher, Dow Jones up 0.33%



Also on Friday, the largest US banks published their financial results for the fourth quarter and all of last year. The net profit of all four banking giants decreased in 2022. In this regard, shares of Wells Fargo are depreciating by 3.8%, Bank of America - by 2.8%, JP Morgan - by 1.3%, Citigroup - by 0.8%.

At the close in the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones rose 0.33% to hit a monthly high, the S&P 500 index rose 0.40%, the NASDAQ Composite index rose 0.71%.

The leading performer among the components of the Dow Jones index today was JPMorgan Chase & Co, which gained 3.52 points or 2.52% to close at 143.01. Quotes of Caterpillar Inc rose by 3.39 points (1.33%), closing the session at 258.46. Apple Inc rose 1.33 points or 1.00% to close at 134.74.

The least gainers were UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (NYSE:UNH), which shed 6.10 points or 1.23% to end the session at 489.57. Shares of Intel Corporation rose 0.18 points (0.59%) to close at 30.11, while Walt Disney Company shed 0.41 points (0.41%) to close at 99. 40.

Leading gainers among the components of the S&P 500 in today's trading were Illumina Inc, which rose 3.80% to 201.11, Wells Fargo & Company, which gained 3.25% to close at 44.22, and also shares of Stanley Black & Decker Inc, which rose 3.06% to end the session at 88.91.

The least gainers were Northrop Grumman Corporation, which shed 5.44% to close at 461.43. Shares of Ford Motor Company lost 5.29% to end the session at 12.72. Quotes of General Motors Company decreased in price by 4.75% to 36.51.

Leading gainers among the components of the NASDAQ Composite in today's trading were iPower Inc, which rose 50.42% to hit 0.77, Moxian Inc, which gained 45.21% to close at 1.51, and shares SmileDirectClub Inc, which rose 46.77% to end the session at 0.70.

The least gainers were Catalyst Biosciences Inc, which shed 32.69% to close at 0.26. Shares of Bed Bath & Beyond Inc shed 30.15% to end the session at 3.66. Quotes of AGBA Acquisition Ltd decreased in price by 21.52% to 4.12.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the number of securities that rose in price (1848) exceeded the number of those that closed in the red (1178), while quotes of 117 shares remained virtually unchanged. On the NASDAQ stock exchange, 2343 companies rose in price, 1320 fell, and 185 remained at the level of the previous close.

The CBOE Volatility Index, which is based on S&P 500 options trading, fell 2.55% to 18.35, hitting a new 52-week low.

Gold futures for February delivery added 1.25%, or 23.75, to $1.00 a troy ounce. In other commodities, WTI crude for February delivery rose 2.03%, or 1.59, to $79.98 a barrel. Futures for Brent crude for March delivery rose 1.64%, or 1.38, to $85.41 a barrel.

Meanwhile, in the Forex market, the EUR/USD pair remained unchanged 0.12% to 1.08, while USD/JPY fell 1.06% to hit 127.85.

Futures on the USD index fell 0.10% to 101.89.

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EUROPEAN ECONOMIC NEWS PREVIEW: UK LABOR MARKET DATA DUE



Labor market statistics from the UK and economic sentiment from Germany are the top economic news due on Tuesday, headlining a busy day for the European economic news.

At 2.00 am ET, the Office for National Statistics releases UK unemployment data. The jobless rate is seen unchanged at 3.7 percent in three months to November.

In the meantime, Destatis publishes Germany's final consumer and harmonized prices for December. The flash estimates showed that consumer price inflation eased to 8.6 percent from 10.0 percent in November.

At 4.00 am ET, Italy's Istat is scheduled to issue consumer and harmonized prices for December. Inflation is seen at 11.6 percent, unchanged from the flash estimate and down from 11.8 percent in November.

At 5.00 am ET, Germany ZEW economic confidence survey results are due. Economists forecast the economic sentiment index to improve to -15 in January from -23.3 in December.

At 6.00 am ET, consumer prices data from Ireland and producer prices from Portugal are due.

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BANK OF JAPAN KEEPS RATE, YIELD CURVE CONTROL UNCHANGED



The Bank of Japan kept its interest rates as well as yield curve control unchanged and modified some of its lending programs.

The Policy Board of the BoJ unanimously decided to maintain a negative interest rate of -0.1 percent on current accounts that financial institutions maintain at the central bank.

The bank will also continue to purchase a necessary amount of JGBs without setting an upper limit so that 10-year JGB yields will remain at around zero percent.

After unexpectedly expanding the tolerance band of 10-year JGB yields in December, the bank today maintained the stance that it will allow yields to fluctuate in the range of plus and minus 0.5 percentage points from the target level.

The board also decided to extend by one year the deadline for loan disbursement under the Fund-Provisioning Measure to Stimulate Bank Lending and to expand the range of eligible counterparties for the Funds-Supplying Operations to Support Financing for Climate Change Responses.

In the latest Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices, released Wednesday, the central bank raised its inflation outlook for the fiscal 2022 to 3.0 percent from 2.9 percent and maintained the forecast for the fiscal 2023 at 1.6 percent.

For the fiscal 2024, inflation is seen at 1.8 percent, up from 1.6 percent estimated in October.

The bank lowered its fiscal 2022 growth outlook to 1.9 percent from 2.0 percent. Similarly, the growth projection for the fiscal 2023 was trimmed to 1.7 percent from 1.9 percent.

In the fiscal 2024, real growth is forecast to slow to 1.1 percent, which was down from the previous outlook of 1.5 percent.

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The pound is experiencing its finest hour. The main thing is not to let the fervor of the GBP die down



By the end of this week, the British currency was in high spirits, confidently moving to the next highs. This time the pound was a winner, although experts warn against excessive euphoria, as they fear further downward movement in the short term.

On Wednesday, January 19, the British currency edged up against the US dollar, as data showed British consumer price inflation dropped to a 3-month low of 10.5% in December but remains near 40-year highs. Analysts observed that prices for basic services rose to 6.8% from the previous 6.4%.

The current macro data may force the Bank of England to reconsider its monetary strategy and vote in February to raise its key rate by 50 bps. Against this backdrop, the pound continues to rise against the euro and the dollar. At the same time, the markets believe that the unexpected core inflation will force the Boe to hike the rate (by 50 basis points). According to analysts, the fate of the rate hike will be decided at the central bank's next meeting in February.

Current British inflation data was within consensus forecasts. This gave a small respite to both the BoE and households, which are now experiencing a cost of living crisis. The recent rise in the pound was recorded after impressive data on the UK labor market. Note that the country's wage indicator hit a record level, which is consistent with long-term inflationary pressures. According to economists, if there are no signs of a decline in service sector inflation in the near future, the BoE will remain aggressive.

According to the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS), the Consumer Price Index (CPI) dipped to 10.5% y/y in December from 10.7% in November. The CPI continues to retreat from its impressive peaks of December 1981, according to observers. As for the monthly UK Consumer Price Index, it was 0.4%. According to the ONS, core inflation (excluding food and energy) rose 6.3% in December, falling short of projections of 6.6%.

According to analysts, growing market expectations concerning the peak of the key rate will provide ample support to the pound. The current macro data from Great Britain is of no small importance in this matter.
According to economists, the December inflation reports showed a slowdown in price growth. However, current data suggests that core inflation remains at a high level, which is far from the target 2%.

According to currency strategists at Pantheon Macroeconomics, inflation in the UK will fall to 9% in March this year, while core inflation will return to the 2% target by the end of 2023. The implementation of this scenario will allow the BoE to cut rates at the beginning of 2024, experts believe.

In this situation the pound was rising steadily, taking advantage of a short-term weakness of the dollar and the macro data. On Wednesday, January 18, GBP/USD remained above 1.2300 as a reaction to the release of the British CPI data. Over the previous day, the pair gained 0.15% and remained in an uptrend. On Thursday, January 19, GBP/USD was trading at 1.2343, continuing its upward spiral.



However, some currency strategists are pessimistic about sterling's medium-term prospects. Many analysts expect it to fall to 1.1000 in the long term. The reason is the imbalance in the UK economy caused by the negative effects of the mini-budget. Most of these problems are still unresolved, experts emphasize.

The pound, which approached 6-month highs, was also supported by US macro data. According to analysts, the current economic situation in the US shows that a recession is coming. Against this backdrop, the exchange rate of GBP against the dollar reached its peak since June 2022. Note that the current macro data from the US demonstrated the deterioration of the national economy and opened the way for further easing of inflationary pressures. Disappointing macro data suggest that the Federal Reserve's efforts to get inflation back to the 2% target are paying off. However, a sharp decline in inflation could trigger a prolonged recession, economists warn.

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Dollar weakens as US debt rises. Interest rates could go higher than 5%



Growing uncertainty has caused US equities to fall, with all three major indices down a full percentage point. Meanwhile, gold rose strongly and almost gained as much as 1.5%.

The move came after reports emerged that the US already reached the debt ceiling set by the Congress. According to the data, it now exceeds $ 31 trillion, which is likely to force Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen to take "extraordinary measures", such as not paying all of the country's bills. It will also prompt Yellen to send a letter to the Congressional leadership, following the one she already sent last January 13, when she urged the Congress to act immediately in order to protect the full faith and credit of the United States.



Despite this, Fed officials continue to highlight the need for further rate hikes as it is a key tool to address and lower the current rate of inflation. The bank has announced its plan to raise the benchmark rate above 5% even though recent data indicates that inflationary pressures may have peaked.

Markets are becoming increasingly concerned because previously, the political administration has been slow to act, either postponing a solution or only proposing to raise the debt ceiling. Persistently high inflation can only make the problem worse.

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