Iraq envoy: U.S. oil investment waiting on legal changes
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HOUSTON (MarketWatch) -- U.S. oil companies are slowly building their relationships with the Iraqi government in anticipation of a new legal regime that will allow them to invest there, the Iraqi ambassador to the U.S. said Monday.
"I see very strong interest from U.S. energy companies in Iraq," Ambassador Samir Shakir Mahmood Sumaida'ie told Dow Jones Newswires after a speech in Houston.
The companies "have visited me at the embassy and expressed that interest," while "waiting for things to be put in place," he said.
The passage of a new investment law in the next two or three weeks and a new hydrocarbons law "within this year" will create the right conditions for major U.S. investments, he said.
U.S. oil companies are "already building up their relationship with the ministry of oil" and providing training to Iraqi technicians, said Sumaida'ie, who added that he would meet with Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) executives on Monday.
The Iraqi oil sector has suffered from the turmoil that has submerged the country since a U.S.-led coalition overthrew Saddam Hussein's regime in 2003. Violence and the lack of a federal petroleum law has kept foreign companies at bay.
But oil majors are reportedly discussing investments in the Iraqi Kurdistan, where the security situation is better than in other areas, the region's oil minister said recently.
Baghdad, however, has long held that deals not approved by the federal government are null.
In the speech Monday, which was hosted by the Bilateral U.S.-Arab Chamber of Commerce, Sumaida'ie advised oil executives to "get a foot in the door" in the areas that are currently safe, and "work your way outward."
The benefits of oil, however, belong to the entirety of the Iraqi people, he pointed out. Revenues will be allocated according to the regions' needs.
Any reconstruction efforts would be impeded by a U.S. retreat from Iraq, Sumaida'ie said. A withdrawal "would create a security vacuum" and "would suck in regional powers," he said.
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10-10-2006, 03:33 AM #12441
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IMF sees strong growth in ME, Central Asia
WASHINGTON: Economies in the Middle East and Central Asia are set to remain strong, but a worsening of the security situation could severely dent growth, an International Monetary Fund report said on Sunday.
The report said growth across the region is outpacing the global economy, but cautioned that a worsening of Iraq’s “security problems” for example would likely have a negative impact on neighboring countries and their economies.
“Economic performance in the Middle East and Central Asia region remains strong, despite security problems and recent asset price reversals,” the fund said in its Regional Economic Outlook for the Middle East and Central Asia.
“Growth in the region continues to outpace global growth and should average six-to-seven per cent in 2006 and 2007,” the IMF said. The fund estimates the region’s economic growth will expand to 6.6 per cent in 2006 from 6.3 per cent in 2005, before slowing to 6.2 per cent in 2007. “Inflation continued to edge up in 2005, averaging 7.25 per cent, but appears to have stabilised in the first half of 2006,” the report noted.
The outlook by the Washington-based fund also highlighted ongoing security concerns. “The conflicts in the region and the worsening security situation, if not resolved, could affect the region’s economic performance significantly,” the report noted.
It said that Iraq, where tens of thousands of American troops are still fighting a violent insurgency, in particular is facing critical economic challenges. “Significant challenges remain in Iraq for pursuing its program of economic stabilisation and reform,” the report said.
“Not least of these challenges are the ongoing security problems as well as corruption, especially in the oil sector. Until these are decisively addressed and solved, progress in reconstructing the Iraqi economy and its institutions will continue to be slow,” the report said.
Elsewhere across the region, the IMF said that programmes were being put in place to improve social and physical infrastructure. Such programmes have been largely funded by windfalls from oil exports. “High oil prices and commodity prices have helped underpin economic growth,” the report said.
It singled out Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Kuwait as states that have seen particular benefits from the recent spurt in world oil prices, which rocketed up to around 78 dollars a barrel this summer before falling sharply in recent weeks to around 60 dollars.
Across the region, “monetary policy has been largely accommodative, although tightening is now underway in some states where inflation has picked up.” The IMF expects all country groupings to make further progress in reducing debt, with the likely exception of Lebanon, which is trying to rebuild its infrastructure following an Israeli offensive. “Lebanon’s debt ratio is likely to increase further in 2006-2007 unless substantial foreign grants become available,” the report said. The IMF also recommended that the “region’s financial sector could strengthen its risk management policies and lessen the risk of instability.”
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10-10-2006, 03:47 AM #12446
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10-10-2006, 03:48 AM #12447
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10-10-2006, 03:56 AM #12448
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its the same premise as if we all go to the bank and cash out all our dinar how will they ever have enough money to give us? i dont know about you but i wont be walking out of the bank with in excess of 6 million dollars. lol
im pretty sure the iraqis WONT take ten grand out in cash.
the purpose is to infuse the economy. they do that by creating reason to start savings accounts, some of which is spent for consumer goods and services which boosts the economy but these people havent had diddly for a few years, i dont suspect they will go out and blow the entire wad on a gem covered hookah.
they wouldnt be giving out the grants if they had no intention of revaluing before their date so its really a mute point.JULY STILL AINT NO LIE!!!
franny, were almost there!!
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10-10-2006, 03:56 AM #12449
Hmmmm
Hmmmm, Something keeps bugging me, I hope that some of you can ease my mind. What on earth are they using to determine what is going to be in the 2007 budget. They seem to have determined what they are going to spend, and therefore what they are going to earn. If I were running a business, and I knew there was going to be a price change in the near future, why would I got to the effort of putting big costings together that are going to change. Now I know that if they do it right, they can re-calculate instantly at a new rate, however it still puzzles me why they would bring out a big budget that has massive spending in it and costings based on the current rate. Now Iraq needs to outsource many of its resources like steel and everything else they need to build ports and so forth and those items cost a pretty penny. However if the RV goes through soon then the costings on projects will significantly reduce, anything that is being imported is going to cost less, and anything that is exported is going to produce significantly more. However this is assuming that all prices are based on the current value of the USD or EUR. It would be really interesting to see some of the details of the budget, what they are forecasting to see if this takes into account many of these things. They can’t work out what they are going to spend unless they know what they are going to earn, so have they used the current exchange rate. And again why would they do this if they know it is going to change potentially in the immediate future.
I would really like to wake up one morning and see everything has been done, but every now and again something happens that just makes me think “what the?” Like how much common sense do they really have, if people don’t roll up to parliament because they don’t want to vote on a law, and they can reasonably expect that to happen, why put it on the same day as the ones that they really do want to get passed, none of them will ever pass if they don’t have quorum. I may be asking too much, or being a little harsh, but it has been going to happen and going to happen and then something goes wrong. However these things going wrong are not completely so unexpected, they are not un-avoidable, they are things that are going to happen and they come up with the same excuses over and over again.
No I am not having a dig at anyone here coming up with excuses, so please don’t try and twist my words, I am having a dig at the members of parliament, the president and prime-minister who come up with reasons why it has not been done. Saying week after week we expect the FIL to be passed by next week, a week goes by and we hear sorry that day in parliament nobody showed because they didn’t want to vote on something else. If that were happening in any other country then I can guarantee that those people would not be in that position for very long. I have looked at so many things that show that what people are saying about 1:1 or even more are within the realms of possibility, I believe that it can and will happen. Will it happen tomorrow, I won’t hold my breath. Should it happen, well yes it damn well should.
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10-10-2006, 03:58 AM #12450
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