GET OUTTA MY HEAD MIKE!!!!Good points,
No doubt in my mind what we are seeing is an excersise in stabilty. What was needed to demonstrate the economic soundness of dinar is that it is stable in all situations. It has been, and now CBI is proving this as they apply standard and accepted strategies to increase dinar value, and it is working just as they suspected it would. The stated what they were going to do, and they did it, and the results are as one would expect, so this is nothing more than a dog and pony show for all the world to see as proof they can handle increase.
Now on the flip side, we know why they are doing what they are doing, to control inflation which is what this move was designed to do as Wm, has so well pointed out for us in his posts. This to is a dog and pony show in my opinion to ultimately justify the revalue as we already see that all the other tried and true economic strategies have not worked. They raised interest rates several times, to no avail, inflation went higher again. Now we see value of dinar being manipulated up, and again, no impact on inflation.
This is to show the world that all responsible economic strategies have been implemented without the desired results of bringing down inflation as Iraq's situation is totally different than all other countries, and this again is more for show than go. As I see it, we are simply seeing a responsible well established strategy to control inflation being used with little or no results. This clears the path to the real solution we have all been waiting on, a revalue, a virtual shot in the arm, and no one can look back and say that they should have tried raising rates first, removing dinar to force up value, etc., for they have done all they could, and it clearly did not work. This is how unique a situation Iraq is in, so hang on, I see all this as a positive.
Happy Holiday Season to all, Mike
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13-12-2006, 07:26 PM #32461
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Iraqi Investments Club
Good question,
Sadly, yes, all the indicators are falling into place, and we are in a dangerous position if the FED makes the wrong move. As we saw yesterday, the FED chose to hold, do nothing, and for good reason, they move rates up, we go into a recession, they drop it, then more investors will dump the dollar, so you can see how perilous the situation is. Don't get me wrong, I hope it doesn't tank this far, but be prepared is my best advice. When Buffet makes move to short dollar, you can bet on the fact it is a good move to do the same.
Happy Holiday Season to all, Mike
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13-12-2006, 08:05 PM #32466
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13-12-2006, 08:06 PM #32467
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13-12-2006, 08:32 PM #32468
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LOOK at the big picture
I appreciate every post that is on this forum, even if it is negative. I do not know anywhere else where I can go and get the level of opinions and research that is on this forum. With that being said, I am going to throw my opinion out there. The dinar shows 1414 to the USD this morning, they have taken out almost 1.5 trillion out of circulation, and they are getting ready to open the gates for foreign investment...we are almost at the end of this ride and the final stop will be AWESOME!!! Please show me somewhere else in history where something like this has happened, find one other currency that has gone up in value like the dinar has over the last two months, and lastly show me one other country that was devalued as badly as Iraq was. I think if we take time to LOOK at all these facts you will be smiling like I am everymorning when I wake up!!!
Have a Happy Holiday!!!!!!!!!!...Providing interest free loans to Iraq since November 2004!!!
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13-12-2006, 08:33 PM #32469
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Valid Points We Can't Ignore!
Here are some excellent points posted by Worf earlier today:
If they open up their ISX to the outside world with a dinar rate in the 1300 - 1400 = 1usd range, doesn't that open themselves up for potential disaster? The big players from all of the world [big countries (incl. US), big banks, big business, wealthy individuals] will join forces for a feeding frenzy on the country of Iraq.
If they are going with their stated goals of overcoming the dollarization phenominon, raising the dinar where it was before, making the dinar the currency of choice among their people, combating inflation, then they are going to have to raise it and raise it big if they were serious about achieving their stated goals, aren't they?
Can they really afford to "dribble it out" once their international laws are in place? It is doubtful to me that so far they have had the desired effect of bringing inflation under control yet.
We have good reason to be optimistic!Last edited by billknows; 13-12-2006 at 08:42 PM. Reason: color emphasis
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