I'm not comptenent enough to understand the rationale behind Iraq's endeavours to miss deadlines with a frequency that matches the inefficiency expers. It all boils to political wrangles that stokes their egos and which have no regard for the people that matter i.e., the citizens who are the ones that are suffering.
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14-12-2006, 09:54 PM #32731
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14-12-2006, 09:55 PM #32732
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Michael16 numbers are actually low....
In early November 2006 the CBI and I believe USAID released a report stating that from August 2006 til October 19, 2006, the amount of IQD in circulation went from just under 20 trillion to just over 14 trillion. They released this report during the time everyone was focusing on the Iraq media blitz regarding the FIL, HCL, Compact, Debt relief and security. Good Karma or "GK" has also mentioned this report and I believe posted the link in the Rolclub history thread.
The CBI removed over 5 trillion IQD in 3 months, from right under our noses, just as a few have suggested. Since Oct 19th, they have removed, at least, 2 trillion more IQD...Probably more if you include these mysterious Securities auctions that appear on and off the CBI site, but clearly remove chunks of IQD. I believe H2O or Susie mentioned a few of these additional auctions that appear, sometimes weeks after the fact. I only noticed them in October and I find it strange we cannot access most of the details of October in the CBI's history. Something significant happened in October.
Some tend to dispute whether the CBI is removing significant amounts of IQD from circulation, even though they have repeatedly stated their policy to do so. However, this report is fact, so at the very least, over 5 trillion has been removed over a 3 month period.
I believe, like a few others, the CBI has approximately 10 trillion in it's coffers. From what is "known" I count over 7 trillion and I strongly suspect there is alot of removal we do not know about. Also, they have stated they are not printing more currency. This means, either the CBI has the lower denominations or the banks already have them. If the CBI has them, we can add several more trillion to what is in their coffers.
Regardless, they have over 7 trillion. But I believe the CBI has accomplished a goal of having 1 IQD in their control for every 1 IQD in circulation. Thus they can revalue at whatever rate they choose without a drop of oil needed for support.
I know this is my first post...Wanted to wait until after the reval. I have been lurking the various forums for over a year now. With all the doubts about removal of currency, I just wanted to mention this report I felt was too significant to overlook.
Best regards to everyone.
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14-12-2006, 09:56 PM #32733
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Valid point! Don't "duck" and cover (couldn't resist!)
IMHO we should all be "brain-storming" on this one and there should be no "right" or "wrong"...You're airing a valid concern...if it has legs, we'll see if it waddles or lopes. It could very well be that until certain "friends" have siphoned off what they anticipated they would "need" from this venture a certain amount of pressure is being brought to bear to keep the "status quo" ("stay the course"). As the Iraqi press is fond of saying "on the other hand" there could be other reasons for delay. So, if not your Bush & Co theory, and if not end-of-fiscal-year accounting theory...what else: anyone? There HAVE to be consistent thoughts running at the same time...We see several postings in a row that are similar all the time....Next? We need a lot to mull over between now and this week-end when (we hope!) there's a HUGE RV!Motto: I'm a little acorn nut. Life Goal: To become a mighty oak.
We're on roll now! Then again, so is Charmin!
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14-12-2006, 10:03 PM #32734
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Its probably very difficult to accomplish anything in a male dominated society where ego is everything and its very important that you are viewed as the alpha male in a room full of alpha males. If the average citizen wants something, then send your alpha male and see if he can out alpha the other alpha's.
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14-12-2006, 10:34 PM #32735
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When there is confidence in any currency, stability and growth are the next to follow..
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14-12-2006, 10:49 PM #32736
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IRAQ: fOR sALE OR LEASE
All of us here have done our part to get Iraq off to a good start. We've taken our well earned money, highly respected around the world and exchanged it for a fledgling currency that has yet to see the light of day!
There's nothing else we can do. The rest is up to the CBI. If they let the new year pass without a significant adjustment in their currency (.05 at the very least!) then - what a colossal error in judgment that would be!
It would be a display of utter incompetence to open Iraq to the world at "yard sale" prices!
The big sign reads: IRAQ FOR SALE OR LEASE JAN 1st. 2007
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14-12-2006, 11:02 PM #32737
How About Some More Good News?
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14-12-2006, 11:04 PM #32738
That's the spirit. We know this is a trial run and there are a lot of factors involved. We still need HCL, further FIL implementation, electronic systems upgrades, SBA next phase by March, better security. It is all lining up. The rumours are fun, but in reality nothing "big" can happen until March of 07. Until then let's enjoy the gradual increase of our investment. One thing to keep an eye on is the Hydrocarbon Laws (HCL). If Iraq can allocate a certain % of their oil revenue as Central Bank reserves they will be able to move into the .10 -.31 IQD range much faster than anyone could ever have dreamed. Hang in there and keep a very positive attitude, peeps!!!
Munny Model IQD Value Projections
Range 1345 IQD/1 USD to 1 IQD/.27 USD:
1345 Target ACHIEVED!!!
1260 Target ACHIEVED!!!
1100 IQD/1 USD by Jan. 5, 2008
810 IQD/1 USD by July 5, 2008
500 IQD/1 USD by Jan. 3, 2009
300 IQD/1 USD by Apr. 18, 09
1 IQD/.01 USD by Aug. 8, 09
1 IQD/.27 USD by Sept. 12, 09
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14-12-2006, 11:04 PM #32739
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I posted this on IIF over a year ago ...as long as they have one dinar in the CBI for one they have out when they RV the dinar will not be a real issue. In fact if they RV the dinar for more than a dollar lets say 1.50 they will make money on the exchange of .50.
There seems to be so many easy answers too all this for such a simple mind like myself ....
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Need WoOt !Last edited by H2O_Lover; 14-12-2006 at 11:11 PM.
Oh the drama....
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14-12-2006, 11:10 PM #32740Munny Model IQD Value Projections
Range 1345 IQD/1 USD to 1 IQD/.27 USD:
1345 Target ACHIEVED!!!
1260 Target ACHIEVED!!!
1100 IQD/1 USD by Jan. 5, 2008
810 IQD/1 USD by July 5, 2008
500 IQD/1 USD by Jan. 3, 2009
300 IQD/1 USD by Apr. 18, 09
1 IQD/.01 USD by Aug. 8, 09
1 IQD/.27 USD by Sept. 12, 09
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