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Thread: Rv More Info For All
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10-04-2007, 10:31 AM #161
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10-04-2007, 11:01 AM #162
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10-04-2007, 01:12 PM #163
Well, ask me an easy question why don't ya...lol.
My answer is somewhat of a cop out on this screwball, but if you read it all I think you'll get my drift.
I have 3 different levels of opinions when it comes to the reval and I classify them as follows:
1. What I see: The items that fall into this category are mostly due to the articles, newspaper and tv pictures and general information coming out of Iraq, mostly from this site dug up by our newshounds. Because of this information I am of the opinion that the RV has to be very, very close, i.e. weeks, instead of months...
2. What I feel: This opinion is generated by the way I see Iraqi's living. It is hard for me to believe that they can continue to endure much more, so I tend to believe that something has to give. Either the people will get something positive or they will essentially implode. This also tends to point towards a sooner reval, but I have been thinking that for awhile now. So, it looks like the Iraqi people will put up with a lot, and thus the RV doesn't happen even though it should.
3. What I hear: Mostly what I hear is negative from mostly uninformed or intentionally misleading statements issued by people with agendas against the U.S.A. or the Republicans, or George Bush, or a combination of two or all three. These opinions tend to say that we need to get out quick, usually around the end of this year, so that leads me to believe that the RV will have to happen before the end of the year or everything is going to go to hell in a handbasket after we pull out. In short if Bush wants any kind of victory, economic prosperity should return to Iraq prior to a pullout, otherwise no credit will go to him, the Republicans or the U.S.A. for the turnaround.
In short it is a confusing muddled mess, which I tend to think is exactly how the C.B.I. would prefer it in order to deter speculation.
Take for example the meeting of the Arab state bank governors that happened last week. When someone in the press was answering questions about a potential RV of the Kuwaiti Dinar the governor being questioned nearly attacked the man because the governor wanted to deter currency speculators.
That leads me to believe that none of us are going to really be aware of any definitive time frame info because the men pulling the strings are confusing the heck out of us all. They are doing a great job at it.
But, I guess you wanted the short answer---->good, bad and just plain ugly, I think it will be sometime in November, but I am hoping for this week and just praying that it will actually happen eventually. I'm not really worried as I can wait it out financially, but I sure would like to get some sleep instead of reading this board late at night...... Susie and everyone else do make it interesting though. Its just my opinion folks so take it for what its worth--->hot air. Anyhow, I'm rooting for next week--->c'mon the sweet release of sleep....
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10-04-2007, 01:20 PM #164
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Bravo!
Very concise and eloquently spoken.
I agree totally. I have a very good friend stationed in a northern suburb of Baghdad. He's my age, went to the same high school. He's a helicopter pilot and when he was in town a few weeks ago (to go to his grandfathers funeral) I asked him what he thought about the future of Iraq. He said he thought it was a lost cause. No words of encouragement from him whatsoever.
I can only sit back and watch things unfold. Nothing we do or say here on these forums will change the course.
Good thing I'm eternally optimistic!
Thank you for your viewpoint. I appreciate it.Do unto others....you know the rest...
Here I am getting my Dinar News Fix waiting for that "Bold Adjustment"
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10-04-2007, 01:47 PM #165
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May I throw in a few lines?
Thank you. :)
1. The budget was approved with an exchange rate of 1260. That's only 12 points from what we has last week and this week. Why the dragging? As CBI proved before, they could get the rate to 1260 in one or two shots....
2. ISX to open on April 15th, with no trading on the 11th - something here?
3. We know the FIL is enacted, but there is no sign of its implementation except governmental contracts - still waiting on procedures - something is holding
4. CBI sets rates for 2-4 days at a time. While the rate doesn't change, CBI buys dinars big time , prices " stable" on the market, but see point 6
5. ICI on May 3rd - if contracts signed and debt forgiveness implemented, shouldn't we have a new rate by then?
6. Why announce a new Monetary Policy, why have a Banking Conference in Amman about it ( with no specific news following) and why articles showing up telling people to hold on buying goods, unless strictly necessary? If the new rate would be 1260 ( from 1271), how much will it impact the market price?
7. On a bigger scale, the dollar took another beating today...we need that oil in Iraq to sustain it...and we need it fast... pegging to the dollar needed ASAP...I don't believe that ever the Iraqi oil will be sold in Euros ( yes, for debt forgiveness pourposes, it will be sold also in dinar, but that's another story)
It is a puzzle, but we can't stop wondering about these, can we?
I was also thinking about the rumours ...dealers are still selling dinar...banks are still seling dinar...in my opinion they are not better informed than us and they will be just as surprised as we will be when it happens. So , if the dealer still sells dinars, it is not because an RV is not close, but it would be mostly because they have no clue how close it is - just like us.
All right, I am done...phhheww...Someone, give me a beer!
And please someone correct me where I am wrong. So I get it out of my head.Last edited by Jola; 10-04-2007 at 01:52 PM.
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10-04-2007, 01:58 PM #166
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As for the rumors
Wheeeeeeeu!!!!!
I'll drink a beer with ya and I'll buy
I think a beer is $1500 dinars??????
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10-04-2007, 01:59 PM #167
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Very concise and eloquently spoken.
I agree totally. I have a very good friend stationed in a northern suburb of Baghdad. He's my age, went to the same high school. He's a helicopter pilot and when he was in town a few weeks ago (to go to his grandfathers funeral) I asked him what he thought about the future of Iraq. He said he thought it was a lost cause. No words of encouragement from him whatsoever.
I can only sit back and watch things unfold. Nothing we do or say here on these forums will change the course.
Good thing I'm eternally optimistic!
Thank you for your viewpoint. I appreciate it.
Dangerous, dangerous job.
Outlived my life expectancy somehow.
Let's hope your friend makes it out of his profession in one piece!
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10-04-2007, 02:03 PM #168
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May I throw in a few lines?
Thank you. :)
1. The budget was approved with an exchange rate of 1260. That's only 12 points from what we has last week and this week. Why the dragging? As CBI proved before, they could get the rate to 1260 in one or two shots....
2. ISX to open on April 15th, with no trading on the 11th - something here?
3. We know the FIL is enacted, but there is no sign of its implementation except governmental contracts - still waiting on procedures - something is holding
4. CBI sets rates for 2-4 days at a time. While the rate doesn't change, CBI buys dinars big time , prices " stable" on the market, but see point 6
5. ICI on May 3rd - if contracts signed and debt forgiveness implemented, shouldn't we have a new rate by then?
6. Why announce a new Monetary Policy, why have a Banking Conference in Amman about it ( with no specific news following) and why articles showing up telling people to hold on buying goods, unless strictly necessary? If the new rate would be 1260 ( from 1271), how much will it impact the market price?
7. On a bigger scale, the dollar took another beating today...we need that oil in Iraq to sustain it...and we need it fast... pegging to the dollar needed ASAP...I don't believe that ever the Iraqi oil will be sold in Euros ( yes, for debt forgiveness pourposes, it will be sold also in dinar, but that's another story)
It is a puzzle, but we can't stop wondering about these, can we?
I was also thinking about the rumours ...dealers are still selling dinar...banks are still seling dinar...in my opinion they are not better informed than us and they will be just as surprised as we will be when it happens. So , if the dealer still sells dinars, it is not because an RV is not close, but it would be mostly because they have no clue how close it is - just like us.
All right, I am done...phhheww...Someone, give me a beer!
And please someone correct me where I am wrong. So I get it out of my head.
To answer all of your questions....
A logical move points to RV before all of those events.
The only thing is, CBI is not known for acting logically.
So this may still take a while.
For some weird reason no one (probably not even CBI) knows.
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10-04-2007, 02:08 PM #169
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10-04-2007, 02:09 PM #170
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